It’s the big day: as I type, nominees are waking up to a gorgeous day in southern California, and are beginning their getting-ready routines. Which means the clock is ticking for me to put my winners predictions out there. Herewith, my picks. Now you have fodder to mock me/praise me once they start doling out the statues. In film:
Best drama: In the last five minutes alone, I’ve vacillated between “The King’s Speech” and “The Social Network” at least half a dozen times. Ultimately, I choose “The King’s Speech,” because it’s got a degree of grandeur attached to it, and that’s what the Hollywood Foreign Press typically likes.
Best comedy/musical: This one seems more clear cut: “The Kids are all Right.” The rest of the nominees just don’t have enough heft.
Actress/drama: Natalie Portman is going to take this one. And I say that because I’m trying to think like the HFPA, not necessarily because I agree with the choice. I think “Black Swan” was marketed incredibly… which is to say, a little overrated. But I think they’ll want to award the film with something, and Portman’s performance is where that will happen.
Actor/drama: Colin Firth. No brainer.
Actress/comedy or musical: I go with Julianne Moore here. Her performance in “The Kids are All Right” made me forgive that mangled Boston accent she tried in “30 Rock” this season. Seriously, she made the film sing. Give her the statue.
Actor/comedy or musical: Gotta say, I’m not thrilled with this category. But, I do think Johnny Depp was transformative in “Alice in Wonderland.” He runs the risk of splitting his own vote as he’s also nominated in this same category for “The Tourist,” so this ultimately could be an upset category.
Supporting actress: Helena Bonham Carter
Supporting actor: Rounding out a great night for “The King’s Speech,” Geoffrey Rush.
Animated film: “Toy Story 3”
Director: This is where “The Social Network” gets its award, with David Fincher taking home the prize.
In Television:
TV series, drama: “Mad Men.” They just had their best season of the series. It would be really hard not to reward it.
TV series, comedy or musical: You’ve heard me gush endlessly over “Modern Family.” HFPA, I hope you’ve been listening.
Actress, comedy or musical: Laura Linney, “The Big C.”
Actor, comedy or musical: Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory.”
Miniseries or made for television movie: “Temple Grandin,” (though I think it should go to “You Don’t Know Jack”).
Actress, miniseries or made for television movie: Clare Danes for “Temple Grandin”
Actor, miniseries or made for television movie: Al Pacino, “You Don’t Know Jack.”
That covers the big ones. Follow me on Twitter or be a fan of the Scoop on Facebook for my as-it-happens reactions tonight.