TX-Sen: The baseline numbers; and other stuff

Published: September 19, 2007, 10:23 pm

Tags: tx sen, texas, senate, 2008, john cornyn, mikail watts, rick noriega

I'll be scarce the next couple of days as I try to deal with whatever it is that's causing my pain (maybe kidney stones, but no confirmation until I get an abdominal CT either Thursday or Friday). But I have a bunch of stuff on tap to blog, so I'll quickly spit it out so I can go back to curling up in a ball and wishing I was dead. Rasmussen. Dates unknown. Likely votes. MoE 4.5% (No trend lines) Cornyn (R) 53 Noriega (D) 30 Cornyn (R) 52 Watts (D) 28 Convention wisdom says that Cornyn is safe, above the dangerous 50 percent mark. And at this point, he is. The question over the next months will be if Texas Democrats can start hitting Cornyn and get him under the 50 percent mark. Most incumbents with these kinds of numbers usually stay safe. But a people-powered campaign can move mountains as we saw in Montana and Virginia last year. Not to mention that Texas is now the site of the latest party-switching state legislator. With states like Kansas, Missouri, and now Texas

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