TODAY | November 06, 2012
>> nbc's political director and chief white house correspondent, and this morning he's mapping out what he calls the nightmare scenario that could drag the election into the days and weeks ahead. chuck, good morning to you.
>> reporter: good morning, savannah.
>> yesterday i promised you could show us what would happen in the teeny tiny possibility that there is that we'd have a 269-269 tie.
>> reporter: let me show you how possible it is. all the president has to do is carry pennsylvania, ohio, new hampshire and wisconsin, and then you put iowa, florida , north carolina , virginia, colorado and the tiny state of nevada in mitt romney 's column, and that's how you get it. it's not very implausible, and, yes, we know that right now the president seems like a favorite in nevada, and that's what makes this less likely than what most folks think, but between that and don't forget you've got congressional districts in nebraska and maine. the point is if you remember how we started this campaign which was the state of iowa decided by eight votes between rick santorum and mitt romney and then oh, by the way the results flipped two weeks later, i've always worried that that was foreshadowing this nightmare scenario .
>> as you talk to us, chuck, i want to note that vice president biden is waiting in line to vote in delaware this morning. we'll keep an eye on that as you and i continue to talk.
>> reporter: speaking of vice president biden . under this scenario and people are wondering if you don't get to 270, this would go to the house, so the house would elect the president. the senate would elect the vice president, so under this scenario your most likely outcome romney/ biden .
>> then we'll know we're in an alternate reality. chuck, let's move on to florida . if it came down to florida being the deciding state, how might that play how the?
>> well, here's the issue with florida right now, and this has to do with election challenges, and i'll just put it here to center it up a little bit. there were two big issues in the state of florida this year that came up. one is in palm beach county where 60,000 absentee ballots were mailed out with a misaligned ballot. it had to do with judges this. isn't like the butterfly ballot from 2000 and about the presidential. it's about another election, and if you fed it in the wrong way into the machine, the entire ballot would be a provisional, and i cite this number, 60,000. they think they have fixed it, but if florida is decided by less than 60,000 votes, you could see, and it's palm beach county , particularly if it's the president that's behind, could you see a legitimate election challenge to a court that says, hey, wait a minute, count these votes. they also changed the rule about absentee ballots and signatures, and if your signature doesn't match, they put you in a provisional column. they had a 3% signature not matching rate in the first election that they did this in in orlando. it could create a lot of problems.
>> i know ohio is potentially a tight one, too. we'll talk about that a bit