TODAY | October 11, 2012
>> what should we expect tonight? david gregory is moderator of "meet the press." and chuck todd is the chief white house correspondent. good morning to you both.
>> good morning.
>> good morning.
>> let's start with your new poll. florida , ohio , and virginia . the battleground states , we'll put the results on the screen. and what we see is a tight, tight dead heat in florida and in virginia . in ohio , you still see the president hanging on to a lead. i guess you could say that romney has the trend line but ohio is still a problem for him.
>> it is. and the biggest finding in our ohio poll, savannah is the early vote . 1 in 5 ohio voters according to our survey have already voted. and among those folks, the president leads 2 to 1 margin, 60 over 60% that he gets from those who have already voted. and that is an advantage. we know they've been talking about that. and that is why, for instance, our likely voters, we have a lot more democrats than maybe some people think will end up in the ohio poll and that's because a lot of democrats have already voted. another factor in all three of these polls, savannah is that over 90% said the debates made no difference in their vote. it was something about 6%, 7% respectively who said the debates matter to their votes. that is while not as helpful to romney as he might have hoped.
>> so the debate had maybe not as much of an impact. where do they stand in terms of favorability ratings?
>> well, there is some good news for romney . he's now right side up, more people have a favorable view of him. but a negative rating in ohio . more people have an unfavorable view of him in ohio than a favorable one. and that's why you'll see him spend a lot of time there. he has narrowed that gap from eight points down to six. he's going to have to get that personal favorable rating. and the president has been pounding him with negative ads.
>> where do you see the president's job approval in this poll?
>> well, the one thing i would say is a yellow flag for the president is that job approval rating , particularly in ohio . so in florida and virginia , the job approval is at 48%, about matches his ballot. that's what happens, what your job approval rating is and what you end up on a general election ballot is usually the same number. in ohio , he's at 51%, but his job rating's at 47%. it's unusual to overperform your job rating that high. if you're the romney